Overview
- ENFEN upgraded its status to coastal El Niño vigilance on Jan. 16, projecting a weak event with coastal warming starting in March and possibly lasting through October.
- North-coast rainfall is expected to range from normal to above normal in March, with forecasters cautioning about sudden rises in Pacific-slope rivers.
- Senamhi specialists see a likely weak magnitude with warmer temperatures from April and coastal rains in March–April, with the next ENFEN update due Jan. 30.
- Agroclimatology experts warn of risks to blueberries and mangoes, and possibly avocados, due to disrupted flowering, fruit set and maturation, while rice faces little downside and may benefit locally.
- Preparedness remains uneven, with Peru’s disaster-reduction program executing about 85% of its 2025 budget and vulnerable regions such as Piura at 72.2%, as local authorities lean on temporary measures like pumps and sandbags.