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Peru GDP Rebounds 3.4% in Q3 on Investment Surge

Mining-led capital spending powered the upturn, prompting analysts to edge 2025 growth projections toward about 3.3%.

Overview

  • Private investment rose 11.4% year over year in the quarter, the strongest pace in more than a decade outside the post‑pandemic rebound.
  • Non‑residential mining investment jumped about 24%, with analysts linking the momentum to large copper projects and activity at firms such as Shougang and Southern.
  • INEI reported gross fixed capital formation up 10.1%, driven by construction at 6.4% and machinery and equipment at 15.8%, while seasonally adjusted GDP increased 1.2% from Q2.
  • Private consumption grew 3.6%, marking an eighth consecutive quarterly expansion supported by employment gains, improved incomes, credit recovery and inflation near the target center.
  • Public investment and public consumption each rose 4.8%, and economists say the stronger‑than‑expected investment profile supports a modest full‑year GDP upgrade, with concentration and inventory dynamics flagged as risks.