Overview

• The war in Ukraine is predicted to persist into 2024, with neither side achieving a substantial victory. The conflict is part of Russia's broader agenda to reestablish its sphere of influence.
• Iran faces domestic and international challenges in 2024, including a devastated economy, upcoming parliamentary elections, and a refusal to cooperate with the UN over its nuclear program.
• Belarus is unlikely to increase its involvement in the Ukraine conflict or be absorbed by Russia in 2024, despite being pulled closer into Moscow’s orbit.
• In Afghanistan, the Taliban's control over the country continues to tighten, with severe restrictions on women's rights and education leading to a bleak future for Afghan women.
• Serbia is expected to be a key player in the Balkans in 2024, with its moves potentially shaping events in the region.