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Permissive Gun Laws Tied to Surge in Child Firearm Deaths Since 2010

The study links the loosest state gun rules to thousands of additional child deaths following the Supreme Court’s 2010 McDonald v. Chicago decision.

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ATLANTA, GEORGIA - APRIL 26: Handguns on display at the  Rock Island Armory booth at the 2025 NRA Annual Meetings & Exhibits held in the Georgia World Congress Center on April 26, 2025 in Atlanta, Georgia. The 154th NRA Annual Meetings & Exhibits is held from April 24-27, 2025, and features over 14 acres of the latest guns and gear, seminars, workshops, and special events. (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images)
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A young boy stares at a rack of guns inside a Sweetwater Rifle and Pistol Club show at Nolan County Coliseum on March 11, 2018 in Sweetwater, Texas

Overview

  • Researchers grouped states by law strictness and found more than 6,000 excess child firearm deaths in the most permissive states between 2011 and 2023.
  • New Hampshire’s pediatric firearm mortality rate climbed from 0.5 to 0.9 deaths per 100,000 after liberalizing measures like ‘Stand Your Ground’ and permitless carry.
  • California, Maryland, New York and Rhode Island—classified as having strict laws—recorded statistically significant declines in child firearm deaths, with Rhode Island seeing the largest reduction.
  • The rise in pediatric firearm mortality was driven by both homicides and an even greater increase in suicides as guns became the leading cause of death among youth.
  • Experts point to universal background checks, secure storage and child access prevention laws as evidence-based policies linked to lower rates of child firearm fatalities.