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PepsiCo Revises 2025 Profit Forecast Due to Tariffs and Weak Consumer Spending

The company now expects flat or declining earnings per share as trade policy uncertainty and higher costs weigh on performance.

Bottles of Pepsi are displayed on a shelf in a supermarket in Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina October 29, 2024. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/File Photo
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Overview

  • PepsiCo has cut its 2025 core earnings per share forecast to a 3% decline or flat, down from its previous expectation of low- to mid-single-digit growth.
  • The company cites increased costs from a 25% tariff on imported aluminum and ongoing global trade policy volatility as key factors impacting profitability.
  • First-quarter results showed a 3% drop in organic food volumes, a 1.8% decline in net revenue to $17.9 billion, and a 10% fall in net income to $1.8 billion.
  • CEO Ramon Laguarta highlighted subdued consumer demand across markets as another challenge affecting PepsiCo’s snack and beverage sales.
  • PepsiCo’s revised guidance underscores the growing pressure on supply chains and shifting consumer behavior in a challenging economic environment.