Overview
- The Pentagon’s unclassified annual report, posted Dec. 23, assesses that China likely placed more than 100 solid-fuel DF-31 intercontinental missiles into three silo fields near the Mongolia border.
- U.S. estimates put China’s nuclear warheads in the low 600s for 2024, with growth projected to surpass 1,000 by 2030.
- The report says Beijing shows little interest in broad arms-control negotiations despite U.S. overtures.
- It warns the PLA expects to be able to fight and win a Taiwan conflict by the end of 2027, with potential long-range strike options reaching 1,500–2,000 nautical miles.
- China denies awareness of the reported deployments, reiterates a no-first-use stance, and urges U.S. cuts, while U.S. officials note the assessment could still be revised before final submission to Congress.