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Pentagon Pizza Tracker Signals Israel Strike on Iran Despite US Denial

Researchers warn that the index rests on selective data during escalating missile exchanges in the Middle East.

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Donald Trump picking up some pies while campaigning in Iowa last year
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Overview

  • On June 12, takeout orders at four pizzerias near the Pentagon spiked hours before Israel’s airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear sites.
  • The “Pentagon Pizza Index” theory dates back to Cold War observations of late-night pizza deliveries linked to military preparations.
  • Secretary of State Marco Rubio reiterated that US forces did not participate in the operation even though officials were briefed beforehand.
  • Pentagon spokespeople dismissed the pizza-tracking method, noting ample on-site food options and disputing the reported surge timeline.
  • Analysts caution that confirmation bias and a lack of comprehensive data undermine the index’s reliability as a geopolitical warning signal.