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Pentagon 'Overmatch' Brief Warns U.S. Could Lose Major Assets to China in Taiwan War Games

The newly reported assessment portrays U.S. forces at a disadvantage against China's massed, resilient capabilities.

Overview

  • The New York Times reports that a classified Office of Net Assessment brief concludes China could destroy U.S. fighter jets, large ships and satellites in a Taiwan conflict.
  • War-game scenarios described in the document frequently show major U.S. losses, with the USS Gerald R. Ford often destroyed.
  • The brief contends that U.S. reliance on costly, vulnerable platforms is mismatched against China’s cheaper yet technologically advanced systems produced at scale.
  • The assessment highlights cyber vulnerabilities, citing malware attributed to the group Volt Typhoon in utilities and communications that support American military bases.
  • Officials and independent analysts quoted in the coverage describe heavy U.S. losses in exercises and say the findings point to a need for changes in force design, basing and procurement.