Overview
- The cabinet-approved Rentenversicherungsbericht projects a 3.73% increase from July 2026 and roughly 4.75% in 2027, with pensions up about 45% by 2039, reserves at €51.9 billion, and contribution rates rising toward about 21.2% by 2039.
- Eighteen CDU/CSU backbenchers from the Young Group call the draft not acceptable and threaten to withhold votes in December, a move that could erase the coalition’s working majority.
- Union floor leader Jens Spahn urges a swift compromise, while JU chief Johannes Winkel demands removing the post‑2031 guarantee to hold the pension level near 48%.
- Employer president Rainer Dulger labels the plan unaffordable, and economist Martin Werding estimates the stabilization pledge could cost around €145 billion between 2029 and 2040.
- Die Linke says it is weighing a yes vote that could salvage passage, with leaders warning any dilution of the package would end their openness to support.