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Pemex July Data Show Refining Slide as Crude Output Stays Far Below Target

Refinery volatility alongside escalating project costs is undermining the administration’s energy sovereignty push.

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Overview

  • Pemex reported July crude production of 1.379 million barrels per day, up 1% from June but down about 8% year over year, extending a 32‑month streak of annual declines.
  • Total liquids output, including condensates, reached 1.648 million barrels per day in July, reflecting a slight month‑to‑month uptick but a yearly drop.
  • The seven‑refinery system processed 1.023 million barrels per day, a 7.5% monthly decline that equates to 52.5% of installed capacity.
  • The Olmeca (Dos Bocas) refinery ran 156,265 barrels per day in July, an 18% monthly decrease that represents roughly 46% of its 340,000‑barrel‑per‑day design capacity.
  • Mexico’s production goal of 1.8 million barrels per day remains out of reach, while Dos Bocas’ reported cost has climbed from an initial $8.9 billion to about $20.959 billion.