Overview

• Mary Peltola leads the hypothetical 2026 governor contest with 40 percent of first-choice support in a ranked-choice simulation.
• In a one-on-one runoff, Peltola would defeat Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom by 65 percent to 35 percent after vote reallocations.
• She holds the highest net favorability of any major Alaska politician at +9 points.
• Potential Republican contenders remain largely unknown and split following Gov. Mike Dunleavy’s term-limited departure.
• In a separate Senate scenario, Peltola trails Sen. Dan Sullivan narrowly, 45 percent to 46 percent, highlighting her strategic decision on which office to pursue.