PECOTA Projections Highlight Competitive Seasons for Yankees and Mets

The 2025 PECOTA forecasts predict strong performances for both New York teams, with the Yankees and Mets poised for playoff contention.

PECOTA projects the Yankees to finish with 90 wins, narrowly edging out the Orioles in a tight AL East race.
The Mets are forecasted for 89 wins, placing them second in the NL East behind the Braves' projected 92 wins.
Juan Soto's addition to the Mets on a 15-year, $765 million deal is a major offseason storyline, though uncertainty remains around Pete Alonso's future with the team.
Both New York teams are expected to improve on their disappointing 2023 seasons, with the Yankees benefiting from key acquisitions like Cody Bellinger and Max Fried.
The Dodgers are projected as the league's strongest team with 104 wins and a 99% playoff probability, positioning them as clear World Series favorites.