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PBO Says Canada’s Housing Affordability Gap Shrinks to 34%, With Big Regional Divides

Falling mortgage costs, rising wages, lower prices drove the improvement.

Overview

  • The budget watchdog’s index shows the gap between typical household buying power and average prices fell from 80% in September 2023 to 34% in August 2025.
  • Halifax has the widest gap at 74%, while Edmonton sits lowest at 4%.
  • Toronto and Hamilton recorded the largest improvements yet still sit well above affordable levels.
  • Calgary, Montreal and Quebec City experienced the most deterioration, though mortgage carrying costs in those cities remain relatively low.
  • With the Bank of Canada’s policy rate now at 2.5%, mortgage debt-service ratios improved in early 2025 toward 2019 levels, but households in Toronto, Vancouver and Victoria remain more exposed.