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PBO Says Canada’s Home Affordability Gap Shrank to 34% as Regional Strains Persist

Lower borrowing costs, stronger wages, softer prices improved debt‑service ratios in early 2025, leaving Toronto, Vancouver and Victoria relatively vulnerable.

Overview

  • The Oct. 2 report finds the national affordability gap narrowed from 80% in September 2023 to 34% in August 2025.
  • A Bank of Canada policy rate now at 2.5%, down from above five per cent, has reduced mortgage costs.
  • Toronto and Hamilton recorded the largest improvements, yet average prices there remain well above what typical households can afford.
  • Halifax has the widest gap at 74%, while Edmonton has the smallest at 4%, underscoring sharp regional differences.
  • Calgary, Montreal and Quebec saw affordability deteriorate, though the PBO says mortgage carrying costs in those cities remain relatively low.