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2d ago

Paxton Leads Cornyn by 20 Points in Texas Senate Primary While Trump Stays Neutral

His wife’s recent divorce filing adds personal drama to a race seen as crucial for the Senate majority.

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Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas questions U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer as he testifies before the Senate Finance Committee on Capitol Hill in Washington, Tuesday, April 8, 2025. (AP Photo/Mark Schiefelbein) / Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton speaks during the Conservative Political Action Conference, CPAC 2024, at the National Harbor, in Oxon Hill, Md., Friday , Feb. 23, 2024. (AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana)

Overview

  • President Trump met privately with Senate Majority Leader John Thune and GOP strategists to discuss the Texas contest but has withheld an endorsement in the Cornyn–Paxton primary.
  • Ken Paxton has maintained a double-digit advantage over Senator John Cornyn in Republican primary polls since May, extending to over 20 points in recent surveys.
  • Texas State Senator Angela Paxton filed for divorce after 38 years of marriage on biblical grounds, injecting fresh personal dynamics into her husband’s campaign.
  • Republican operatives view the primary outcome as pivotal to securing control of the U.S. Senate in 2026 given Texas’s strong GOP lean.
  • General election polls show both Paxton and Cornyn holding narrow leads over Democrat Colin Allred, raising concerns about the seat’s competitiveness in November.