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Pavlovich vs. Cortes-Acosta Headlines UFC Shanghai as Odds Tighten

Compressed betting lines reflect a matchup of Pavlovich’s recalibrated pacing versus Cortes-Acosta’s high-volume form.

8/23/2025
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Overview

  • No. 3 Sergei Pavlovich meets No. 6 Waldo Cortes-Acosta in the UFC Fight Night 257 main event in Shanghai on August 23.
  • Pavlovich remains the favorite with markets ranging roughly from -236 to -275, while Cortes-Acosta sits near +200 to +280 as support for the underdog narrows the gap.
  • After losses to Tom Aspinall and Alexander Volkov, Pavlovich beat Jairzinho Rozenstruik by unanimous decision in February and says he is prepared to control all three rounds if needed.
  • Cortes-Acosta enters on a five-fight win streak highlighted by a second-round knockout of Ryan Spann and a decision over Serghei Spivac, drawing praise for improved boxing and wrestling defense.
  • Oddsmakers set the total at 1.5 rounds with the over around -175 to -180, and pricing for a Pavlovich first-round knockout near +360 signals uncertainty about an early finish.