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Pavlovich Faces Cortes-Acosta at UFC Shanghai as Odds Tighten

Market signals reflect faith in Cortes-Acosta’s form despite Pavlovich’s favorite status.

8/23/2025
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Overview

  • Top-5 heavyweight Sergei Pavlovich meets rising contender Waldo Cortes-Acosta on Saturday at UFC Shanghai in a main-card matchup with ranking implications.
  • Pavlovich remains the betting favorite after opening near -245, though lines have narrowed across books to roughly -236 to -275 as some bettors back the underdog.
  • Oddsmakers set the total at 1.5 rounds with the over favored, signaling expectations the bout could extend beyond the opening frame.
  • Pavlovich emphasized a rebuilt, three-round approach after a February decision over Jairzinho Rozenstruik, describing a game plan that mixes measured striking and situational wrestling.
  • Cortes-Acosta enters on a five-fight UFC streak and an 8-1 promotional record since Dana White’s Contender Series, including a recent decision over Serghei Spivac, as he seeks a breakthrough against a top-five opponent.