Overview

• After a warm start to Monday, increasing moisture and an approaching front will return scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms through late week.
• Parts of Michigan sit under a marginal (level 1 of 5) severe risk, with gusty winds the primary concern.
• Forecasts from Indiana to Pennsylvania call for multiple rounds of rain, with some communities picking up roughly 1–3 inches by Friday, though totals will vary.
• A few stronger storms are possible in spots, producing heavy downpours, brief small hail and isolated damaging gusts.
• Temperatures trend from warm or hot to more seasonable behind the front, with patchy morning fog possible in some areas as humidity rises.