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Week 11 NFL Playoff Picture: Colts, Broncos, Patriots Lead AFC as Eagles Top NFC

New model runs show outsized playoff-odds swings tied to Week 11 results.

Will Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions beat the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday Night Football? Check out NFL Week 11 win probabilities, picks and predictions for every game this week.
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Who is announcing the Broncos vs Chiefs game on Sunday? Check out the announcers for every NFL game on the NFL Week 11 schedule.

Overview

  • As of the post–Week 10 standings, Indianapolis, Denver and New England sit atop the AFC at 8-2, while Philadelphia leads the NFC at 7-2 with Seattle and the Rams close behind; no team has clinched or been eliminated.
  • A Chiefs loss at Denver would leave Kansas City 3.5 games back of a 9-2 Broncos team with seven to play, turning the AFC West race into a steep climb, per Yahoo Sports.
  • Rams–Seahawks in Los Angeles will heavily influence the NFC West, with SportsLine estimating the winner’s division chances jump above 69% and the loser falling near 48%.
  • Projection models spotlight volatility: PFF simulations put Jacksonville’s playoff odds near 60% with a Week 11 win and about 25% with a loss, while SportsLine currently projects the Patriots as the AFC’s No. 1 seed and the Rams as the NFC’s top seed.
  • The AFC wild-card chase features the Chargers, Bills and Jaguars in position with the Chiefs currently just outside, and the NFC bracket remains crowded behind the Eagles with the Packers holding the final spot for now.