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Patriots Favored Over Broncos for Sunday’s AFC Title Game as Denver Turns to Jarrett Stidham

Denver’s league-leading pass rush meets New England’s high-powered offense after a quarterback change tilted the market.

Overview

  • Denver will start veteran Jarrett Stidham in place of injured Bo Nix, and Stidham enters with no regular-season pass attempts this year and his last start in 2023 after being drafted by New England.
  • Final injury reports list Broncos running back J.K. Dobbins out alongside Nix, while the Patriots ruled out sacks leader Harold Landry III and listed cornerback Carlton Davis III as questionable.
  • Sportsbooks have New England around 4.5-point favorites with a total near 42.5 following Denver’s quarterback change.
  • Denver led the NFL with 68 sacks, and Drake Maye has been sacked 10 times over two playoff games, highlighting a pressure-heavy matchup.
  • Analysts and bettors are split, with several staff picks backing New England but some handicappers taking Denver based on defense, home field and Sean Payton’s coaching.