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Parti Québécois Wins Quebec Election, Forms Minority Government

PQ's win raises the prospect of a future independence referendum, complicating relations with Ottawa.

Overview

  • The Parti Québécois, which won the most seats on October 5, 2026, will form a minority government with roughly 59 of 127 seats and Paul St‑Pierre Plamondon as premier‑designate.
  • St‑Pierre Plamondon has pledged to hold a referendum on Quebec independence only after President Donald Trump leaves office in January 2029, keeping the sovereignty question active but postponed.
  • The PQ announced immediate policy priorities that include capping permanent immigration at about 35,000 a year, tightening French‑language requirements, and cutting funding for the lieutenant‑governor as a step toward abolishing the monarchy’s provincial role.
  • With fewer than the 64 seats needed for a majority, the PQ must negotiate to pass legislation and will likely seek ad‑hoc deals with other parties such as Québec solidaire while facing resistance from Conservatives and a fragmented legislature.
  • The victory raises wider stakes for Ottawa because of an ongoing US‑Canada trade dispute that affects Quebec industries, and it sits against polls showing roughly 31% support for separation, leaving the outcome of any future referendum uncertain.