Overview
- An Ifop survey conducted January 5–9 among 983 registered voters puts Emmanuel Grégoire’s united left at 30% and Rachida Dati at 28%, ahead of Pierre‑Yves Bournazel at 16%, Sophia Chikirou at 10%, Sarah Knafo at 8% and Thierry Mariani at 7%.
- Runoff projections from Ifop‑Fiducial indicate Dati would lead in most hypothetical one‑on‑one second‑round matchups.
- Ifop reports four slates currently meet the 10% threshold to remain in round two, with Bournazel in third place ahead of Chikirou.
- The left’s first‑round pact unites Socialists, ecologists and communists, while La France insoumise fields a separate list.
- Reconquête’s Sarah Knafo formally entered the race this week, and her campaign site removed openly racist public comments and closed contributions after the launch.