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Palm Valley Capital Fund Keeps Defensive Stance in Q4, Gains 0.66% as It Ups T‑Bill Cushion

The quarterly letter highlights a defensive posture built on cash-like holdings plus valuation-driven stock picks.

Overview

  • The fund lifted its Treasury-bill allocation from 74.1% to 76.3% in Q4, contributing to underperformance versus the S&P SmallCap 600 (+1.70%) and Morningstar Small Cap Index (+3.12%).
  • Equity holdings rose 1.12% for the quarter, helped by the fund’s precious-metals sleeve, with silver remaining its largest allocation.
  • Flowers Foods was a top detractor, yet the fund increased its stake, citing about 10x earnings valuation and a high dividend yield as consumers trade down to private label and away from loaf bread.
  • Heartland Express was a top contributor, with the letter noting trucking rates appear to be bottoming, profitability could improve in 2026, and net debt has fallen roughly 60% over three years.
  • Palm Valley initiated a position in Ingredion at about 10x earnings with a roughly 3% dividend yield, noting ongoing recovery from a June fire at its Chicago plant and secular HFCS headwinds, and it kept initial weights modest.