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Pakistan Targets Zero Inflow in Power Circular Debt to Meet IMF Condition

Officials outline tariff, recovery, payment steps to prevent the stock from climbing toward Rs2.3 trillion this fiscal year.

Overview

  • Pakistan has set a fiscal-year goal of zero net inflow into power-sector circular debt, tied to a $1.2 billion IMF tranche under the EFF.
  • Circular debt stands at roughly Rs1,615 billion, with sources warning it could approach Rs2,300–2,350 billion without corrective action.
  • The plan projects Rs212 billion in relief from annual tariff rebasing (Rs55b), reduced DISCO losses (Rs18b), and improved recoveries (Rs121b).
  • Authorities aim to close a remaining Rs522 billion gap through Rs120 billion in principal repayments and about Rs400 billion in disbursements to IPPs and state plants.
  • The IMF has emphasized zero inflow as a core reform commitment, and officials caution that strict implementation and timely payments are essential to avoid pressure on tariffs and fiscal stability.