Overview
- Official data show industry expanded 9.38% in Q1 FY2026, with agriculture up 2.89% and services 2.35%.
- The NAC also lifted FY2024–25 growth to 3.09% and put the economy at Rs113.93 trillion ($407.9 billion) with per-capita income at $1,814.
- The Finance Ministry’s December update points to continued LSM recovery, a 5.5–6.5% December inflation range and a current account within target.
- Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb highlight falling inflation to 4.5%, stronger reserves to $21.2 billion and project growth above 4%, with 16 IPOs expected in 2026.
- A Gallup Pakistan survey finds 51% expect a better 2026 and 53% foresee economic improvement, even as flood impacts and some economists’ skepticism underscore ongoing risks.