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Pakistan Inflation Eases to 9.6% in October

Slower rises in perishable food prices trimmed the annual rate, leaving a high four‑month fiscal average that will complicate monetary policy.

Overview

  • Official Pakistan Bureau of Statistics data show headline consumer inflation fell to 9.6% year‑on‑year in October 2026 while monthly prices rose 1.1%.
  • The October slowdown was driven mainly by weaker increases in perishable food items, with urban and rural food inflation both declining from September levels.
  • Non‑food costs remain a major source of pressure as electricity charges rose about 8.5% in October and urban transport saw large monthly increases.
  • Average inflation for July–October of the 2026–27 fiscal year stands at 10.05%, far higher than the 4.79% recorded in the same period last year.
  • Analysts warn that sustained high global oil prices and further domestic energy or transport cost increases could keep FY27 inflation above 9% and squeeze household real incomes.