Overview
- Detroit’s 23-10 loss to Minnesota on Christmas Day eliminated the Lions and clinched at least a wild-card berth for Green Bay.
- Simulation models show the Packers can still land as the No. 2, 3, 5, 6 or 7 seed, with No. 7 the most likely outcome.
- A win over the Ravens keeps paths open to better wild-card slots and limited division scenarios, while a loss fixes the Packers at No. 7.
- The NFC North remains possible only if Green Bay wins out and Chicago loses out, rising to about a 31% chance this week if the Packers win and the Bears lose to the 49ers.
- Outcomes in Eagles–Bills and Rams–Falcons also matter, as Philadelphia’s head-to-head edge means the Packers need an Eagles loss for a No. 2 bid and an Atlanta upset supports a No. 5 scenario.