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Over Half of Children in Nine English Areas Could Be Overweight or Obese by 2035

New forecasts prompted calls for stricter junk food regulations alongside a national youth physical activity strategy

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Overview

  • Government data shows 36% of primary school leavers were overweight or obese in 2023-24, up from 33% in 2009-10.
  • Royal Society for Public Health modelling projects rates will climb to 41% nationally by 2034-35 with increases in 136 of 151 local authorities.
  • Nine councils, led by Blackpool (54%) and Knowsley (52%), are forecast to have a majority of overweight or obese 10- and 11-year-olds by 2035.
  • Childhood obesity heightens lifelong risks including diabetes, high blood pressure, certain cancers and poor mental health.
  • Campaigners say successive governments’ failure to regulate ultra-processed food companies has worsened obesity in England’s most deprived areas.