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Ossoff Tops Progressive Straw Poll After Big Senate Win

Prediction markets have raised his odds following a non‑scientific progressive straw poll that reflects activist preferences rather than national support.

Overview

  • Crooked Con attendees gave Sen. Jon Ossoff 38.4 percent of about 990 votes in a straw poll held at the conference, a result that followed his decisive Senate reelection earlier that week.
  • The Crooked Con result boosted attention from analysts and bettors, with Nate Silver calling Ossoff a “slam dunk” pick and online prediction markets moving to favor him.
  • Ossoff has repeatedly said he has "zero interest" in running for president, publicly denying any plans to enter the 2028 race despite the rising chatter.
  • The straw poll is an informal, non‑scientific measure of progressive activists and does not match broader national polling where figures like Kamala Harris retain substantial support.
  • Strategists point to potential vulnerabilities — including reactions to Ossoff’s nuanced stance on Israel — and note that a presidential run would trigger state procedures in Georgia for replacing his Senate seat if he won.