Overview
- Sportsbooks list Oregon as a 2.5-point favorite for Jan. 1 at Hard Rock Stadium, with both teams entering at 12-1 as No. 5 vs. No. 4.
- Evan Stewart was reportedly absent from recent Oregon practices, while Dakorien Moore, Gary Bryant Jr., and Jordon Davison participated.
- Dimers’ 10,000-simulation model gives each team a 50% win probability and projects a one-point Texas Tech win, prompting a Texas Tech moneyline (+108) recommendation.
- Texas Tech’s defense has allowed about 10.9 points per game and 2.3 yards per carry, posing a stern test for Oregon’s run-heavy efficiency.
- Edge rusher David Bailey (13.5 sacks, 17.5 TFL) headlines a disruptive Texas Tech pass rush that challenges Oregon’s protection and quick-game plans.