Particle.news
Download on the App Store

Oracle’s AI Buildout Fuels Debt Concerns as Street Sticks With Moderate Buy

Investors focus on cash generation as Oracle races to expand AI infrastructure.

Overview

  • Wall Street’s consensus remains a Moderate Buy with a one-year average price target near $309, even after recent volatility.
  • Barclays reiterated an Overweight rating with a $310 target on Dec. 16, while RBC cut its target to $250 and kept Sector Perform on Dec. 11.
  • Fiscal Q2 delivered an EPS beat at $2.26 but missed on revenue and RPO, and guidance for Q3 growth disappointed versus estimates.
  • Capital spending surged to $12 billion last quarter with full-year capex guided to roughly $50 billion, alongside negative free cash flow of about $10 billion and total debt reported at $124 billion including leases.
  • A large AI backlog features a widely reported $300 billion OpenAI commitment starting in 2027, though HSBC projects OpenAI may need about $207 billion in funding as it remains free cash flow negative in coming years.