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Oracle’s AI Buildout Faces Funding Scrutiny as Analysts Diverge

A fresh bullish call from Citizens underscores a divide on whether take‑or‑pay contracts plus project financing can offset soaring capex and higher borrowing costs.

Overview

  • Reports said a $10 billion Blue Owl funding plan for Oracle’s planned Michigan AI data center stalled, raising new questions about project financing.
  • Oracle shares fell 12% after earnings and then about 6% more following the Michigan report, extending a pullback from September highs.
  • The company lifted its fiscal 2026 capital‑spending outlook to roughly $50 billion and sold $18 billion of bonds as credit‑default‑swap costs climbed.
  • Citizens maintained a Market Outperform rating with a $342 price target, while RBC cut its target to $250, citing heavy capex and negative free cash flow.
  • Oracle highlights scale with 147 data‑center regions live, 64 in the pipeline, large GPU clusters, and an order backlog topping $500 billion from AI customers such as OpenAI, xAI, and Meta, though investors question how much converts to near‑term cash.