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Oracle Sinks as Revenue Miss and $50 Billion AI Capex Plan Jolt Investors

Investor focus has shifted to financing risk, with questions about when Oracle’s record AI backlog will translate into revenue.

Overview

  • Fiscal Q2 revenue came in at $16.06 billion versus $16.21 billion expected, while adjusted EPS was $2.26, boosted by a $2.7 billion pretax gain from selling Oracle’s Ampere stake.
  • Capital spending jumped to about $12 billion in the quarter and full‑year fiscal 2026 capex guidance was lifted by roughly $15 billion to about $50 billion.
  • Remaining performance obligations hit a record ~$523 billion, driven by new commitments from Meta, Nvidia and others, though the figure was below some estimates.
  • Shares fell roughly 11%–15%, on track for the worst single‑day drop since 2002, and the selloff weighed on other AI‑linked names.
  • Executives emphasized chip neutrality, options for customer‑provided chips and vendor rental models to limit upfront outlays; free cash flow was about negative $10 billion and total debt exceeds $100 billion after recent bond sales.