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Oracle AI Shock Exposes Bitcoin’s Tighter Link to Tech and Credit Risk

Central bank warnings highlight AI‑financing stress that could force deleveraging to hit Bitcoin before any policy‑driven rebound.

Overview

  • Oracle’s Dec. 11 revenue miss and a lift in AI capex plans to about $50 billion, funded with more debt, wiped roughly $80 billion off its value as Bitcoin slipped below $90,000 before later reclaiming $92,000.
  • A three‑month BitcoinNvidia correlation near 0.96 and a 30‑day BitcoinNasdaq reading around 0.53 underscore that AI‑linked risk is increasingly steering crypto moves.
  • AI data‑center financing surged from roughly $15 billion in 2024 to about $125 billion in 2025, leaning on bonds, private credit and asset‑backed deals that heighten sensitivity to credit repricing.
  • The Bank of England, the European Central Bank and the IMF warn that stretched AI valuations and leverage raise the risk of a disorderly correction spreading through credit markets.
  • Analysts say an AI‑driven credit squeeze would likely prompt early Bitcoin selling as liquidity contracts, with a potential rebound later if central banks re‑ease financial conditions.