Overview
- The model has Coventry winning the title on about 87 points, below recent champion totals, with Middlesbrough forecast to finish second on 78.
- Opta estimates around 68 points could secure sixth, with eight clubs clustered in the 62–68 range in what it projects as a compressed table.
- Stoke City are given a 29% chance of a top-six finish and a 7% chance of the top two based on season-to-date performance indicators.
- Relegation safety is modeled to require more points than usual, with Blackburn projected 22nd on roughly 53 and Sheffield Wednesday assigned a 96% risk after their administration penalty.
- Leicester await a verdict over alleged financial breaches that pundits suggest may bring a multi-point deduction, while bookmakers make Coventry strong promotion favourites and price Ipswich next.