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Opendoor's Meme-Stock Surge Eases as Losses Linger and Downside Warnings Grow

Fresh modeling points to possible downside toward $5 as a new CEO pushes a pivot to a leaner marketplace model.

Overview

  • Shares have fallen from September highs near $10.5 to roughly $7, yet the stock is still up about 347% for 2025.
  • Opendoor continues to post declining revenues and sizable losses as elevated mortgage rates keep the housing market under pressure.
  • New CEO Kaz Nejatian outlines goals to scale home acquisitions, improve unit economics, and build operating leverage, targeting 12‑month adjusted net income breakeven by the end of 2026.
  • Sell-side estimates project continued losses, which raises the risk of additional capital needs and potential dilution for shareholders.
  • Forbes’ Trefis analysis says a slide toward $5 is plausible given historical trading and execution risks, even after a meme-driven rally fueled by retail interest, Reddit threads, and bold targets from EMJ Capital’s Eric Jackson.