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OpenAI Says Run‑Rate Is About $50 Billion, Down Roughly $20 Billion From Estimates

The company told investors the difference stems from accounting choices, raising fresh questions about funding needs and profitability.

Overview

  • On Thursday, October 8, multiple outlets reported that OpenAI informed investors its annualized revenue was about $50 billion at the end of September, roughly $20 billion below figures that circulated in late September.
  • The shortfall is mainly a measurement issue because OpenAI reports net revenue while some investors had grossed up partner sales to make direct comparisons with rival Anthropic.
  • The clarification triggered heavy selling in AI‑linked stocks, with losses for Nvidia, Oracle, CoreWeave and a drop in the Nasdaq as investors reassessed the pace of AI monetization.
  • Strong reported run‑rate growth is being driven by enterprise contracts, but OpenAI remains unprofitable and faces multiyear compute and model‑training costs that widen its cash burn.
  • The revenue revision sharpens pressure on OpenAI’s plans for more private funding and an eventual IPO, since investors will want clearer audited numbers and a credible route to sustainable profits.