Overview
- OPEC+ will raise December quotas by 137,000 barrels per day and suspend further increases in January through March 2026.
- The announcement comes after a sharp one-day oil price jump following U.S. sanctions on Russia’s Rosneft and Lukoil.
- The International Energy Agency forecasts a supply surplus exceeding 3 million barrels per day this quarter, pointing to potential stock builds.
- Analysts estimate the quota change will add only 60,000–70,000 barrels per day of actual output, with inventories likely to accumulate.
- Oil held in floating storage has risen markedly since September and is expected to flow into onshore tanks in the weeks ahead.