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OPEC+ Sets Modest October Oil Output Increase of 137,000 Barrels a Day

The alliance signals caution in response to softer demand forecasts.

Overview

  • Since April, the group has restored roughly 2.5 million barrels per day as it unwinds earlier cuts.
  • Members brought forward the reversal of a separate 1.65 million barrel-per-day cut to add supply sooner.
  • Ministers will reconvene on October 5 to consider accelerating, pausing, or reversing subsequent increases.
  • Brent crude ended the week at $65.50 a barrel, down 2.2% yet still above 2025 lows near $58.
  • Analysts say Saudi Arabia and allies are prioritizing market share, with only Saudi Arabia and the UAE holding notable spare capacity as the U.S. presses for higher output.