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OPEC+ Poised to Lift Output Again in November as Prices Drop Below $65

Debate over the size of the hike reflects Saudi ambition versus Russian constraints.

Overview

  • Core OPEC+ members will convene online at 1100 GMT Sunday to set November policy, with an increase expected but the size still unresolved, according to sources.
  • Options discussed range from a 137,000 bpd rise to as much as 548,000 bpd, with Saudi Arabia advocating larger steps and Russia preferring the minimum.
  • The group has already raised output targets by more than 2.5–2.6 million bpd this year as it unwinds multi‑year cuts to reclaim market share.
  • Oil fell below $65 a barrel this week, roughly an 8% decline, as traders weighed the prospect of additional OPEC+ barrels and broader oversupply risks.
  • OPEC called reports of a “massive” production surge inaccurate and urged against fueling speculation, even as analysts flag a potential glut.