Overview
- OPEC+ set a 137,000 bpd increase for November, matching October’s pace and extending the staged restoration of earlier cuts.
- Saudi Arabia sought a larger boost to reclaim market share, whereas Russia backed the modest step given sanctions, strikes and limited spare capacity.
- Brent settled below $65 on Friday after a weekly drop of about 8% as expectations for additional OPEC+ supply weighed on sentiment.
- The IEA sees demand growth around 700,000 bpd in 2025–26 as non-OPEC supply climbs, fueling warnings of a potential glut later this year and into 2026.
- The alliance reiterated flexibility to pause or reverse voluntary adjustments, pledged compensation for any overproduction and scheduled its next review for November 2.