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OPEC+ Accelerates August Supply Increase to 548,000 bpd as Oil Prices Hold in High-$60s

Tight inventories have absorbed OPEC+’s accelerated output increase, with geopolitical risks plus looming US tariffs underpinning oil prices.

Overview

  • On July 6, OPEC+ approved a surprise 548,000 barrels per day production hike for August, exceeding its previous 411,000 bpd monthly increases.
  • Oil prices initially dipped but stabilized in the high-$60 range as physical market tightness absorbed most of the added output.
  • Analysts report that actual supply additions have fallen short of targets, with Saudi Arabia accounting for the majority of the new barrels.
  • Houthi rebel attacks on Red Sea shipping have added a geopolitical risk premium that supports crude prices despite rising production.
  • US President Donald Trump delayed the start of higher tariffs to August 1 but maintained plans for steep duties, stoking doubts about future oil demand.