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Ontario Says U.S. Tariffs Have Worsened Its Budget Shortfall

The finance minister attributes slower growth to U.S. trade measures and has announced business tax relief plus a spending review to limit rising deficits.

Overview

  • The government released a fall fiscal update that shows the province’s deficit is now much larger than the spring forecast because economic activity has weakened.
  • Ontario’s finance minister blames U.S. tariffs and higher oil prices for cutting growth and pushing revenue down, forcing a rethinking of the province’s return-to-balance timetable.
  • The province announced an $8-billion business tax-relief package intended to spur investment alongside a ministry-level spending review that will curb head counts without public-sector layoffs.
  • Opposition parties condemned the approach, pointing to a recent expense scandal and urging deeper cabinet cuts or new revenue tools such as taxes on the very wealthy to protect households.
  • The update raises the near-term fiscal risk for services by increasing contingency reserves and projecting larger multi-year deficits, with the government signaling balance will now be delayed beyond earlier targets.