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Ongoing Israel-Hamas War Threatens LebanonEconomic Recovery

World Bank predicts a contraction of Lebanon's GDP as conflict disrupts tourism and remittances, key drivers of the economy.

  • Lebanon's economy, which was projected to grow by 0.2% in 2023, is now expected to shrink by -0.6% to -0.9% due to the ongoing Israel-Hamas war.
  • Near-daily clashes between Hezbollah and Israeli forces along the Lebanon-Israel border have significantly impacted tourism, with the percentage of completed flights to Lebanon dropping from 98.8% to 63.3% between October and November.
  • Lebanon's economic strategy heavily relies on tourism and remittances from abroad, both of which have been affected by the conflict.
  • Lebanon reached a preliminary deal with the IMF in April 2022 for a $3 billion rescue package but has not completed most of the required reforms to finalize it.
  • Caretaker Deputy Prime Minister Saade Chami stated that Lebanon had made 'no progress to speak of' in recent months on implementing the required reforms for the IMF deal.
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