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One Year In, Sheinbaum Rides High Approval as Concerns Over Institutions and Security Persist

Analysts link her high marks to a calmer, technocratic approach that distances her from AMLO.

MEXICO CITY, MEXICO - SEPTEMBER 15: President of Mexico Claudia Sheinbaum gives the annual shout of Independence (Grito de Independencia) as part of Mexico's Independence Day celebration at Zocalo on September 15, 2025 in Mexico City, Mexico. The event, also known as 'El Grito de Dolores' (The Cry of Dolores), took place on the early morning of September 16, 1810 in Dolores, Guanajuato when catholic priest Miguel Hidalgo called people to arms in the town. Every year, Mexicans remember the event a night before, on September 15, with the traditional 'Grito de Independencia' (Cry of Independence) given by the president in turn. Claudia Sheinbaum leads the event for the first time. (Photo by Hector Vivas/Getty Images)
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Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum on the campaign trail in April 2024
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Overview

  • A new Enkoll poll reported by EL PAÍS puts her approval at 78% after one year, topping Andrés Manuel López Obrador’s first-year rating and outpacing recent predecessors.
  • Support is fueled by continued cash transfers and minimum-wage increases, though her claim of near‑lowest inequality in the Americas was challenged by fact‑checkers.
  • Her security strategy expanded U.S. cooperation, with 55 extraditions and record fentanyl seizures drawing public praise from U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio.
  • Official data show 13,547 disappearances from October to August even as the government cites a 32% national drop in homicides and surveys reflect ongoing anxiety about crime.
  • Critics cite democratic backsliding tied to low‑turnout judicial elections, perceived court alignment with Morena, and a proposed electoral overhaul, while scandals test her control of the ruling coalition.