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One Year In, Crisafulli’s Centrist ‘Small‑Target’ Strategy Faces Tests on Agenda and Urban Support

Analysts warn a narrow agenda plus urban polling softness could threaten a second term.

Overview

  • At the first‑year mark, the Queensland LNP has stuck to a self‑described centrist approach that stresses moderation on culture fights and concentrates political capital on youth crime.
  • The government passed laws to sentence some children as adults last December and expanded the regime in May to cover 33 offences, including several non‑violent crimes.
  • Key promises were executed or advanced, including repeal of Path to Treaty laws, restored 24‑hour union entry notice, release of corruption watchdog and probity reports, and a bill to remove legislated renewable energy targets.
  • Energy and planning moves featured an indefinite role for coal if required, investigations into multiple pumped‑hydro sites, and new planning rules mandating public consultation for large wind and solar projects.
  • Olympics planning shifted with a $3.79 billion, 63,000‑seat Victoria Park stadium announcement, as polling showed Crisafulli’s strong personal ratings alongside LNP softness in Brisbane and criticism of a thin legislative docket and conservative‑leaning measures such as ending the truth‑telling inquiry, abolishing pill testing, and restricting gender‑affirming care for minors.