Overview

• Hezbollah is commemorating the first anniversary of Hassan Nasrallah’s death, with leader Naim Qassem set to address supporters as the group stages tributes that defied orders from Lebanese authorities.
• Israel’s 2024 campaign began with detonations of Hezbollah members’ pagers and escalated into air and ground operations that killed more than 4,000 people in Lebanon, with strikes continuing despite a truce.
• The group lost most of its top command, including Nasrallah and heir apparent Hashem Safieddine, then elevated longtime deputy Naim Kassem while shifting operations underground and tightening against intelligence breaches.
• Supporters, critics and analysts say Hezbollah is regrouping, and an Israeli military assessment describes its influence as reduced and a large-scale attack as unlikely even as limited rebuilding efforts proceed.
• Lebanon’s government says it aims to disarm Hezbollah by year’s end as donors link reconstruction to demilitarization, a move the group rejects amid enforcement doubts, disrupted Syrian supply routes and disputed finances.