Overview

• Since Emmanuel Macron’s surprise dissolution on June 9, 2024, the Assemblée nationale has fractured into eleven groups without a clear majority, triggering three prime ministers and repeated motions of censure.
• François Bayrou, who took office after Michel Barnier’s government fell, has yet to introduce major reform bills and depends on ad-hoc agreements with socialists to pass budgetary measures.
• Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella hosted a ‘Fête de la victoire’ in the Loiret with partners such as Viktor Orbán and Matteo Salvini, drawing thousands to showcase a unified European far-right front.
• RN deputy Jean-Philippe Tanguy is calling for intensified motions of censure to force a new dissolution of the Assembly once constitutionally possible this autumn.
• Marine Le Pen’s recent conviction threatens her eligibility in 2027 and has elevated Jordan Bardella as the party’s likely standard bearer for the next presidential race.