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One Nation's Surge Reshapes Australian Election Dynamics

Pauline Hanson’s party sees polling gains and strategic preferences from the Coalition, positioning it as a potential kingmaker ahead of Saturday’s vote.

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Overview

  • Recent polls show One Nation’s primary vote has risen to 10.5%, more than doubling its 2022 result.
  • The Coalition has placed One Nation second on how-to-vote cards in key seats, marking a significant shift in preference strategy.
  • Pauline Hanson is campaigning on cost-of-living, housing affordability, and hardline immigration policies, including cutting immigration by 570,000 people annually.
  • Analysts suggest One Nation’s growing support could help the Coalition win marginal seats, potentially altering the election outcome.
  • Labor criticizes the Coalition for aligning with One Nation, while both parties deny formal preference deals.