Overview
- A Redbridge/Accent Research poll of 1,005 voters taken between May 25 and May 28 shows One Nation on 31% primary support, Labor on 28% and the Coalition on 20%.
- When respondents were asked to allocate preferences One Nation narrowed the gap with Labor to about 51–49 on a two‑party‑preferred basis.
- One Nation’s leader Pauline Hanson has signalled she may move from the Senate to the House and said she believes she could be prime minister, while the party’s lower‑house presence doubles with Farrer MP David Farley to be sworn in.
- Pollsters and commentators link the surge to public anger over May’s property tax and negative gearing reforms and wider cost‑of‑living anxieties, but they warn the sample size, a roughly 3.4% margin of error and uncertain preference flows limit how directly polls translate into seats.
- Coverage differs on what this means: some outlets and Coalition figures treat the result as a wake‑up call for conservative voters, while analysts note One Nation’s historical fringe status even as it now poses a plausible long‑term challenge to the major parties.